Pakistanis residing in foreign countries continued to send higher remittances back home as more people went abroad and the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) conditions forced them to utilise legal remittance channels.
Overseas Pakistanis remitted $13.30bn in first seven months (July-Jan) of current fiscal year, which was 4% higher than the $12.77bn received in the same period of last year, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) said that alone in January, the remittances increased 9% to $1.9bn compared to $1.74bn in the same month of previous year, it added.
“Overall, a continued growth trend is now emerging in remittance inflows,” Arif Habib Limited head of Research Samiullah Tariq said.
Remittances from two leading western countries – the US and the UK – were rising continuously since Pakistan was implementing anti-money laundering (AML) and combating financing of terrorism (CFT) rules of the global financial transaction watchdog – the FATF, he said.
Remittances from the US and the UK grew 11% and 6% respectively and cumulatively accounted for over 32% of the total remittances of $13.30bn in first seven months of current fiscal year 2019-20. On the other hand, the growth in remittances from Saudi Arabia and the UAE, which were the top two countries in terms of remittances, slowed down.
“The two oil-producing and exporting countries are facing economic headwinds since international oil prices have failed to maintain the uptrend in recent months,” Tariq said.
“The situation has impacted the growth in remittances to Pakistan, though most of the expatriate Pakistanis reside in the two Middle Eastern nations.” Economist Dr Shahid Hasan Siddiqui criticised the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) government for utilising remittances to finance the huge trade deficit.
“Had the government invested remittances in different sectors of the economy like export-oriented industries (such as textile and others), the economic growth would have been hovering around 8% (compared to the nine-year low growth of 3.3% in the previous fiscal year),” he said. Siddiqui was of the view that the government should have adopted the strategy of increasing exports rather than decreasing imports to fix the faltering economy.
Besides, he expressed doubt whether the growth in remittances was natural or it came through dubious ways. “The (previous) government had found suspicious remittance transactions.
How can a driver send over a million dollars in wages back home in a year?” he said. People send outward remittances through illegal channels of hawala/hundi to settle accounts of over/under-invoicing in import and export, he said. “This money is sometimes routed through home remittance channels (into Pakistan),” he said.
SBP governor Reza Baqir said last month the overseas Pakistanis were increasingly using informal channels to send remittances to the country. “We are seeing that the use of formal channels for sending money (by expatriates) is not growing as much as the use of informal channels,” he said.
During January 2020, the inflow of workers’ remittances from Saudi Arabia increased 7% to $433mn compared with the inflow of $404mn in January 2019.
The remittances from UAE rose 13% to $395mn in the month compared to $350mn in the same month of last year.
The dispatches surged 35% from US to $335mn compared to $272mn.
They improved 1% to $299mn from UK compared to $295mn. Pakistanis dispatched 12% higher remittances at $186mn from GCC countries (including Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Oman) compared to $167mn. They sent 10% higher funds from EU countries at $47mn compared to $43mn.
Remittances received from Malaysia, Norway, Switzerland, Australia, Canada, Japan and other countries during January 2020 inched down 1% to $211mn together as against $213mn received in January 2019, the central bank reported.
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